Another Middle East Domino (Jordan)

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Discussion Overview

The discussion revolves around the political situation in Jordan following King Abdullah II's dismissal of his government and appointment of a new prime minister tasked with implementing political reforms. Participants explore the implications of this move in the context of regional instability and historical governance in Jordan.

Discussion Character

  • Debate/contested
  • Conceptual clarification
  • Historical

Main Points Raised

  • Some participants suggest that the king's actions are a pre-emptive measure to avoid unrest similar to that seen in Tunisia and Egypt.
  • Others argue that King Abdullah II's frequent government reshuffles serve to temporarily defuse potential rebellious activity.
  • One participant notes that Jordan's demographic composition, with a significant number of refugees, might suggest instability, but argues that the king's active role and foreign economic support contribute to a relatively higher standard of living and stability.
  • There is a comparison made between King Abdullah II and former Egyptian President Mubarak, with a claim that the financial corruption in Jordan is significantly less than that attributed to Mubarak's regime.

Areas of Agreement / Disagreement

Participants express differing views on the effectiveness of the king's reforms and the overall stability of Jordan. While some see the potential for stability due to economic support and governance, others remain skeptical about the long-term impact of such political maneuvers.

Contextual Notes

Participants reference historical governance styles and regional dynamics without resolving the implications of these factors on Jordan's future stability.

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Pre-emptive reform?

Apparently the spark in Tunisia was a Wikileaks posting about the opulent lifestyle of wealthy Tunisians and government officials. The populace got a bit upset.

Tunisia inspired Egypt, and perhaps other governments are hoping their populations don't follow suit.
 
he does this quite often. it will defuse any rebellious activity, for awhile.

jordan is half refugees, from palestine, and more recently iraq. your initial assumption would be 'very unstable.' but the king plays an active role, and by assiduous courting of economic support from the usa and israel has managed to create a higher standard of living than most arab societies. there are health and education services, and an efficient and modern army. jordan is likely to be stable for the foreseeable future.
 
al loomis said:
he does this quite often. it will defuse any rebellious activity, for awhile.

jordan is half refugees, from palestine, and more recently iraq. your initial assumption would be 'very unstable.' but the king plays an active role, and by assiduous courting of economic support from the usa and israel has managed to create a higher standard of living than most arab societies. there are health and education services, and an efficient and modern army. jordan is likely to be stable for the foreseeable future.

Despite the fact that he's King, vs Mubarek's mere presidency, I seriously doubt he or his father managed to "skim" anywhere near the same $67 Billion off the Jordanian citizens as Mubarek did off the Egyptian citizens. I'd be surprised if it topped $1 Billion during the same 30 years Mubarek has been in power.
 

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