Gulf Oil Spill Velocimetry-Based Flow Rate Estimate

AI Thread Summary
Skepticism surrounds the accuracy of oil spill flow rate estimates derived from underwater video analysis, particularly following Prof. Steven Wereley's admission that his initial estimate was significantly low. Concerns focus on the quality of the video used for particle image velocimetry, which may not meet the method's requirements for controlled illumination and high-resolution imaging. Wereley's calculations suggest a spill rate of 70,000 barrels per day, vastly exceeding BP's official estimate of 5,000 barrels per day, which BP disputes. Other scientists have produced similar estimates using different methods, indicating a consensus that the actual spill rate is much higher than reported. The ongoing debate highlights the complexities and uncertainties in accurately measuring the environmental impact of the Gulf oil spill.
  • #51
jreelawg said:
"Such a blowout could have spewed 250,000 barrels a day, according to the 582-page plan."

http://www.businessweek.com/news/2010-05-31/bp-ready-for-spill-10-times-gulf-disaster-plan-says-update1-.html
Thank you. Interesting, I'd like to see the permit BW refers to. Google's not turning it up.
 
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  • #52
jreelawg said:
"Such a blowout could have spewed 250,000 barrels a day, according to the 582-page plan."

http://www.businessweek.com/news/2010-05-31/bp-ready-for-spill-10-times-gulf-disaster-plan-says-update1-.html

Buiness Week is hardly a reputable source. I believe they have taken that number out of context. Perhaps it was referring to the maximum production capability of a platform in that block of water.

CS
 
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  • #53
stewartcs said:
Buiness Week is hardly a reputable source. I believe they have taken that number out of context. Perhaps it was referring to the maximum production capability of a platform in that block of water.

CS
That makes sense - if an entire multi-well mega platform suffered an uncontrollable fire then in a theoretical worst case the total platform output could be spilled, and I could see a permit application having to address that scenario. Stating that a single well could release at that rate (250k bbl/day), from this geography, does not make sense.
 
  • #54
mheslep said:
That makes sense - if an entire multi-well mega platform suffered an uncontrollable fire then in a theoretical worst case the total platform output could be spilled, and I could see a permit application having to address that scenario. Stating that a single well could release at that rate (250k bbl/day), from this geography, does not make sense.

I googled "multi-well mega platform" and got no results.
 
  • #55
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