How do I predict rogue waves using simple probability models ?

[fRod57]

Homework Statement

Predicting rogue waves or analysing old events using simple probability models and real time data

Relevant Equations

http://www.ifremer.fr/web-com/molagnon/jpo2000/general.pdf
equations used here (article is in french but I think you'd recognize the equations)

I need to predict an upcoming rogue wave or analyse old rogue wave events using simple probability models and real-time data for a physics high school project.

 

[Bystander]

https://www.google.com/search?q="ra...ome..69i57.31785j0j8&sourceid=chrome&ie=UTF-8

 

[berkeman]

I need to predict an upcoming rogue wave

Sorry, no can do. Rogue waves are, well, unpredictable. That's how they earned their name...

or analyse old rogue wave events using simple probability models

That's much more practical. What reading have you been doing about rogue waves in the past?

 

[fRod57]

Sorry, no can do. Rogue waves are, well, unpredictable. That's how they earned their name...

That's much more practical. What reading have you been doing about rogue waves in the past?

None apart the one I already published (which is in French). Could you propose any similar beginner-friendly material ?

 

[berkeman]

None apart the one I already published (which is in French). Could you propose any similar beginner-friendly material ?

I would start with some Google searches and look for the best scientific links in those...

https://www.google.com/search?client=firefox-b-1-d&q=what+causes+rogue+waves

https://www.google.com/search?clien...hUKEwiE55zZmOHmAhXTrZ4KHXBnCAQQ4dUDCAo&uact=5

 

[marcusl]

Your timing is excellent. There has been an exciting new breakthrough in modeling rogue waves with a model that encompasses both linear and non-linear regimes:
https://physics.aps.org/articles/v12/146?utm_campaign=weekly&utm_medium=email&utm_source=emailalert