How do I predict rogue waves using simple probability models ?

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Homework Help Overview

The original poster seeks to predict rogue waves or analyze historical rogue wave events using simple probability models for a high school physics project. The discussion revolves around the unpredictability of rogue waves and the feasibility of using probability models in this context.

Discussion Character

  • Exploratory, Conceptual clarification, Assumption checking

Approaches and Questions Raised

  • Participants discuss the unpredictability of rogue waves and the practicality of analyzing past events. Questions about available beginner-friendly resources and reading materials on rogue waves are raised.

Discussion Status

Some participants have suggested searching for scientific literature and resources online. A recent breakthrough in modeling rogue waves has been mentioned, indicating ongoing exploration of the topic.

Contextual Notes

There is a mention of language barriers in accessing materials, as the original poster has published work in French. The discussion also highlights the challenge of predicting rogue waves, which are noted for their inherent unpredictability.

fRod57
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Homework Statement
Predicting rogue waves or analysing old events using simple probability models and real time data
Relevant Equations
http://www.ifremer.fr/web-com/molagnon/jpo2000/general.pdf
equations used here (article is in french but I think you'd recognize the equations)
I need to predict an upcoming rogue wave or analyse old rogue wave events using simple probability models and real-time data for a physics high school project.
 
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fRod57 said:
I need to predict an upcoming rogue wave
Sorry, no can do. Rogue waves are, well, unpredictable. That's how they earned their name... :smile:
fRod57 said:
or analyse old rogue wave events using simple probability models
That's much more practical. What reading have you been doing about rogue waves in the past?
 
berkeman said:
Sorry, no can do. Rogue waves are, well, unpredictable. That's how they earned their name... :smile:

That's much more practical. What reading have you been doing about rogue waves in the past?
None apart the one I already published (which is in French). Could you propose any similar beginner-friendly material ?
 
fRod57 said:
None apart the one I already published (which is in French). Could you propose any similar beginner-friendly material ?
I would start with some Google searches and look for the best scientific links in those...

https://www.google.com/search?client=firefox-b-1-d&q=what+causes+rogue+waves

1577840246359.png

https://www.google.com/search?clien...hUKEwiE55zZmOHmAhXTrZ4KHXBnCAQQ4dUDCAo&uact=5

1577840304131.png
 

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