Probability of two events in an hour more than 20 mins apart

Cade
Messages
90
Reaction score
0

Homework Statement



Suppose that two events occur in an hour, and the probability is uniformly distributed. If the time that the first event occurs has the same distribution as the time that the second event occurs, and the two distributions are independent, what is the probability that the second event occurs at least 20 minutes after the first?

Homework Equations



The distribution is uniform (i.e. pmf=1/60 for each minute).

The Attempt at a Solution



I'm not sure how to approach this problem. I couldn't find a pattern with this table:
Time of E1, probability of E1 during that time, probability E2 is 20 mins before E1
0..20, 20/60, 0/60
21, 1/60, 1/60
22, 1/60, 2/60
23, 1/60, 3/60,
...
 
Physics news on Phys.org
Cade said:

Homework Statement



Suppose that two events occur in an hour, and the probability is uniformly distributed. If the time that the first event occurs has the same distribution as the time that the second event occurs, and the two distributions are independent, what is the probability that the second event occurs at least 20 minutes after the first?

Homework Equations



The distribution is uniform (i.e. pmf=1/60 for each minute).

The Attempt at a Solution



I'm not sure how to approach this problem. I couldn't find a pattern with this table:
Time of E1, probability of E1 during that time, probability E2 is 20 mins before E1
0..20, 20/60, 0/60
21, 1/60, 1/60
22, 1/60, 2/60
23, 1/60, 3/60,
...

The times of the earlier and later events are _not_ uniform. You need the concept of *order statistics*; see, eg., http://mathworld.wolfram.com/OrderStatistic.html or
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Order_statistic . In fact, if X1 and X2 are the two times, and the order statistics are T1 = min(X1,X2) [first] and T2 = max(X1,X2) [second] you want P{T2 >= T1 + 20}. You will need some information about the bivariate distribution of (T1,T2).

RGV
 
Thanks, I did not see this listed in my lecture notes. I will look into this topic on Mathworld now.
 
Prove $$\int\limits_0^{\sqrt2/4}\frac{1}{\sqrt{x-x^2}}\arcsin\sqrt{\frac{(x-1)\left(x-1+x\sqrt{9-16x}\right)}{1-2x}} \, \mathrm dx = \frac{\pi^2}{8}.$$ Let $$I = \int\limits_0^{\sqrt 2 / 4}\frac{1}{\sqrt{x-x^2}}\arcsin\sqrt{\frac{(x-1)\left(x-1+x\sqrt{9-16x}\right)}{1-2x}} \, \mathrm dx. \tag{1}$$ The representation integral of ##\arcsin## is $$\arcsin u = \int\limits_{0}^{1} \frac{\mathrm dt}{\sqrt{1-t^2}}, \qquad 0 \leqslant u \leqslant 1.$$ Plugging identity above into ##(1)## with ##u...
Back
Top