Probability that exactly one of three events will occur

In summary: This is the required probability.In summary, to find the probability that exactly one of the events $A_1$, $A_2$, and $A_3$ will occur, we can use the formula $\Pr(A_1)+\Pr(A_2)+\Pr(A_3)-2\Pr(A_1\cap A_2)-2\Pr(A_2\cap A_3)-2\Pr(A_1\cap A_3)+3\Pr(A_1\cap A_2\cap A_3)$. This can be simplified by using the formula $P(AB^cC^c)=P(A)-P(AB)-P(AC)+P(ABC)$ for
  • #1
alexmahone
304
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Let $A_1$, $A_2$, and $A_3$ be three arbitrary events. Show that the probability that exactly one of these three events will occur is

$\Pr(A_1)+\Pr(A_2)+\Pr(A_3)-2\Pr(A_1\cap A_2)-2\Pr(A_2\cap A_3)-2\Pr(A_1\cap A_3)+3\Pr(A_1\cap A_2\cap A_3)$

My attempt:

The required probability$=\Pr(A_1\cap A_2^c\cap A_3^c)+\Pr(A_1^c\cap A_2\cap A_3^c)+\Pr(A_1^c\cap A_2^c\cap A_3)$

$\Pr(A_1\cap A_2^c\cap A_3^c)=\Pr(A_1\cap(A_2\cup A_3)^c)$

$=\Pr(A_1)-\Pr(A_1\cap(A_2\cup A_3))$

How do I proceed?
 
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  • #2
Alexmahone said:
Let $A_1$, $A_2$, and $A_3$ be three arbitrary events. Show that the probability that exactly one of these three events will occuris
$\Pr(A_1)+\Pr(A_2)+\Pr(A_3)-2\Pr(A_1\cap A_2)-2\Pr(A_2\cap A_3)-2\Pr(A_1\cap A_3)+3\Pr(A_1\cap A_2\cap A_3)$
To simplify notation.
$P(AB^cC^c)=P(AB^c)-P(AB^cC)$
$=P(A)-P(AB)-[P(AC)-P(ABC)]$
$=P(A)-P(AB)-P(AC)+P(ABC)$

Do that twice more for $P(A^cBC^c)~\&~P(A^cB^cC)$ and add.
 

What is the probability that exactly one of three events will occur?

The probability that exactly one of three events will occur is calculated by taking the total number of ways that exactly one event can occur and dividing it by the total number of possible outcomes.

How do you calculate the probability of exactly one of three events occurring?

To calculate the probability of exactly one of three events occurring, you can use the formula P(A) = (n!/k!(n-k)!)*(p^k)*(q^(n-k)) where n is the total number of trials, k is the number of successful trials, and p and q are the probabilities of success and failure, respectively.

What is the difference between the probability of exactly one event occurring and the probability of at least one event occurring?

The probability of exactly one event occurring means that only one of the three events will happen, while the probability of at least one event occurring means that one or more of the three events will happen.

Can the probability of exactly one event occurring be greater than 1?

No, the probability of exactly one event occurring cannot be greater than 1. It is a decimal value between 0 and 1, where 0 means that the event is impossible and 1 means that the event is certain to occur.

How can you use the probability of exactly one event occurring in real life?

The concept of the probability of exactly one event occurring can be used in various fields such as statistics, finance, and risk management. It can help in decision making by providing a measure of uncertainty and can also be used to predict the likelihood of a specific event happening in the future.

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