Excuse me if this is a really ignorant question but I tried searching google but all I got was debunking thermodynamics/creation arguments. My physics lecturer the other day was saying that in third year statistical mechanics we will be shown how to derive a formula giving the probability for the second law of thermodynamics. He said the probability of it being broken was somewhere in range of it happening once in the age of the universe to the power of 100 or something. Does anyone know this exact probability? Also, why is the second law of thermodynamics given such a high esteem as a law. I saw a quote that I can't remember word for word but something like "If you theory opposes Maxwell's equations then all the worse for Maxwell but if it opposes the second law of thermodynamics then all you can do is bow in shame". Any insight would be appreciated. Thanks.