LURCH said:
Started another thread before I sawthis one. What I'm wondering is how much each test flight costs. Has anyone heard any figures? I mean, the flameout was one thing; at least we learned something about scramjet tech from that. But this failure taught us virtually nothing, and it cost just as much as a successfull flight. I am a bit concerned that a string of failed tests could sideline the whole program, whether or ont the failures have anything to do with the scramjet itself.
It isn't really a per-flight kind of thing. They built a finite number of testbed vehicles. So far I think the program has cost on the order of $140 according to GlobalSecurity.org. That is absolutely nothing in the grand scheme of government spending.
Ryan_m_b said:
Just to play devil's advocate here are the applications really that great or are they niché? The SR-71 Blackbird was the peak in a trend for ever faster jets but was superceded by satellites, missiles and a general change in the manner in which jets were used. Are there many situations we can envision in which hypersonic aircraft would be militarily advantageous over other technology/tactics?
The SR-71 is a totally different animal. It was built for surveillance and was therefore superseded by satellites. The development of scramjets, on the other hand, has been driven more for a combination of payload delivery to target in the form of cruise missiles and by the goal of single-stage-to-orbit spaceflight.
Space cannot be weaponized without violating various agreements and setting off an arms race, so nothing like that can replace the idea of a hypersonic cruise missile for rapid-response. Ballistic missiles armed with conventional warheads would also be a bad idea, as evidenced by the fact that we briefly looked into it and ran into a cacophony of protest from other nations because of the potential for confusion with actual nuclear launches. In other words, the military reason for developing scramjets will not go away any time soon.
On the other hand, reusable SSTO vehicles are something that have been highly sought after for years but have been elusive, and using scramjets is one of the more promising ways to do it. The interest in this will ebb and flow with the economy and budgets, but the idea will hang around until it is someday achieved.
Militarily, consider this: a Mach 6 cruise missile could be fired from Los Angeles and hit Beijing within about 90 minutes (Islamabad in about 2 hours) assuming that Mach 6 was at, say, 40,000 feet. Unlike an ICBM, a cruise missile launch would not be easily detectable from space because it wouldn't have that huge heat signature. It would be detected fairly late in its journey so the target would have much less time to react than that full flight time. I would imagine it would be on the same order as the 30 minutes reaction time available to an ICBM launch, only without triggering an exchange of ICBM fire. On top of that, there are no current SAM systems available to hit a target moving at those speeds. I am sure they could try and retool a Patriot to do the job, but hitting an air-breathing, maneuverable vehicle like a cruise missile moving at those speeds is significantly harder than a re-entry vehicle on a ballistic trajectory. In essence, such a weapon gives the military fielding it the ability to strike anywhere in the world with about 2 hours notice assuming they could put enough fuel on board without being anywhere near as provocative as launching an ICBM.
Aero51 said:
If our entire airforce had this capability aircraft carriers would be rendered useless for most fighterjet applications.
Let's not go overboard, mate! The ability to project power from a close-in platform like an aircraft carrier would take a lot longer than that to replace. Hypersonic flight has its limitations, as does over-reliance on cruise missiles.