What is the probability that the first toss was the tail?

  • Thread starter Thread starter tictac123
  • Start date Start date
  • Tags Tags
    Probability
AI Thread Summary
The discussion revolves around calculating the probability that the first toss of a coin was a tail, given that the coin landed heads exactly twice in three tosses. Participants explore different approaches to the problem, including manual calculations and the use of notation. One contributor suggests that the possible outcomes are HHT, HTH, and THH, while another expresses confusion about whether to distinguish between the two heads. The conversation highlights the complexity of conditional probability in this context. Ultimately, the participants are seeking clarity on the correct approach and solution to the problem.
tictac123
Messages
4
Reaction score
0

Homework Statement


A coin is tossed 3 times and you note that the coin lands heads exactly twice. What is the probability that the first toss was the tail?


The Attempt at a Solution



I've solved the problem manually not using notation.


So I want to try to solve with notation?

Thanks
 
Physics news on Phys.org


I am not familiar with the notation you speak of, can you give me an example of what you're asking for?
 


p(the coin landed tail)=.5
 


Without using nCr
But Conditional Prbability
 


Well what answer did you get? :)
 


i also learning probability and just to ask those who have completed this, is the answer 1/6 ?
 


Tricky! I'm thinking of a manual solution like this:
The possible outcomes are HHT, HTH, THH.
BUT I'm wondering if I need to distinguish between the two H's so it is
HhT, hHT,HTh,hTH,THh,ThH
 
Back
Top