I saw something astonishing (to me, at least) on the local TV news tonight. A poll gives Trump only a 2% lead in South Carolina.
South Carolina?
Trump, Clinton nearly tied in new South Carolina poll (WYFF-TV, Greenville)
New poll: Clinton, Trump ‘virtually tied’ in SC (
The State, Columbia)
This poll was commissioned by the state Democratic party, so Trump's people are dismissing it. But the state Republican chairman sees this as a sign that his party needs to take this race seriously. I'm skeptical myself, even though I'm a Democrat. SC has been solidly Republican in Presidential elections the whole time I've lived here. You have to go back to 1976 to find a Democrat (Carter, from neighboring Georgia) winning SC.
1976: Ford (R) 43%, Carter (D) 56%
1980: Reagan (R) 50%, Carter (D) 48%, Anderson 2%
1984: Reagan (R) 64%, Mondale (D) 36%
1988: Bush 41 (R) 62%, Dukakis (D) 38%
1992: Bush 41 (R) 48%, Clinton (D) 40%, Perot 12%
1996: Dole (R) 50%, Clinton (D) 44%, Perot 6%
2000: Bush 43 (R) 57%, Gore (D) 41%
2004: Bush 43 (R) 58%, Kerry (D) 41%
2008: McCain (R) 54%, Obama (D) 45%
2012: Romney (R) 55%, Obama (D) 44%
Also, the percentages in this poll are 41% Trump, 39% Clinton, 5% Johnson (Libertarian), 2% Stein (Green). That leaves a lot of undecided voters.