MHB Multiplication Theorem on Probability and proof

AI Thread Summary
The discussion centers on the Multiplication Theorem in probability, specifically regarding the simplification of conditional probabilities. A user expresses confusion about the theorem and seeks clarification on how the simplification works and its importance. Another participant explains that the simplification is based on the standard rules of fraction multiplication and cancellation. The example provided illustrates how terms can be canceled in a multiplication of fractions. Understanding this simplification is crucial for grasping the theorem's application in probability.
alfred2
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Hi Everyone!

I'm with Conditional Probability and I don't understan this theorem.

Theorem:
If
http://imageshack.us/a/img28/1349/1qg.png
then
http://imageshack.us/a/img209/8829/aor.png
Proof:
All the conditional probabilities are well defined, since
http://imageshack.us/a/img197/8938/4xp.png
We can rewrite the right site of the equality as follows
http://imageshack.us/a/img62/3095/5d9.png
Obviously we can simplify the terms through
http://imageshack.us/a/img855/7523/ikm.png
Can anyone say me how does the simplification work? And why it is so important to be sure that

Thank you =)
 
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Welcome to MHB, alfred! :)

The simplification is a consequence of how fractions are multiplied and simplified in general.
Consider for instance:
$$\frac 3 4 \cdot \frac 4 5 \cdot \frac 5 6 = \frac 3 {\cancel 4} \cdot \frac {\cancel 4} {\cancel 5} \cdot \frac {\cancel 5} 6 = \frac 3 6$$
 
Thanks! You were right ;)
 
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