What is the probability that the temperature will drop

Click For Summary

Homework Help Overview

The problem involves determining the probability of a temperature drop occurring within a specified time frame, based on meteorological expectations. The subject area relates to probability distributions in the context of weather forecasting.

Discussion Character

  • Exploratory, Assumption checking

Approaches and Questions Raised

  • Participants discuss the suitability of a uniform distribution for the problem and question the interpretation of the time interval regarding whether it applies to one or both days.

Discussion Status

Some participants have reached a tentative agreement on using a uniform distribution, while others are exploring the implications of the time interval and its clarity in the problem statement. There is an ongoing dialogue about the assumptions that need to be clarified.

Contextual Notes

The original problem lacks explicit details regarding the time interval's application to one or both days, which is a point of contention among participants.

twoflower
Messages
363
Reaction score
0

Homework Statement



Meteorologists expect rapid temperature drop in the following 48 hours. What is the probability that the temperature drop will occur between 15:45 and 24:00?

The Attempt at a Solution



I can't find out, what distribution is suitable for this kind of problem...Would someone please point me to the right distribution?

Thank you.


Standa
 
Physics news on Phys.org
If that's all you are given, you can only assume a uniform distribution over the 48 hours. My question is whether "between 15:45 and 24:00" applies to both days.
 
HallsofIvy said:
If that's all you are given, you can only assume a uniform distribution over the 48 hours. My question is whether "between 15:45 and 24:00" applies to both days.

Thank you HallsoftIvy, after a while I also assumed it to be uniform distribution. Whether the 15.45 - 24.00 interval applies to both days remains unsaid, good question, however, it didn't come to my mind.
 
As it appears to me, the question quote from book entirely should mention to both days.
 
I agree. Thought we ought to leave something for twoflower to think about!
 

Similar threads

  • · Replies 4 ·
Replies
4
Views
2K
  • · Replies 13 ·
Replies
13
Views
5K
Replies
2
Views
2K
  • · Replies 4 ·
Replies
4
Views
1K
  • · Replies 2 ·
Replies
2
Views
2K
  • · Replies 4 ·
Replies
4
Views
2K
  • · Replies 14 ·
Replies
14
Views
3K
  • · Replies 2 ·
Replies
2
Views
3K
  • · Replies 10 ·
Replies
10
Views
2K
  • · Replies 15 ·
Replies
15
Views
2K