HallsofIvy said:If that's all you are given, you can only assume a uniform distribution over the 48 hours. My question is whether "between 15:45 and 24:00" applies to both days.
The probability of the temperature dropping is affected by various factors such as the current weather conditions, time of year, location, and the presence of high or low pressure systems.
While scientists use advanced models and data to predict weather patterns, it is not always possible to accurately predict the probability of the temperature dropping. This is because weather is a complex system and can be influenced by many variables.
Weather forecasts are based on the latest data and technology and are constantly improving. However, they are not always 100% accurate and can change as weather patterns shift. Therefore, it is important to check for updates and use forecasts as a guide rather than a definitive prediction.
Climate change can impact weather patterns and lead to more extreme temperatures, including drops in temperature. However, the exact probability of temperature drops due to climate change is difficult to determine and can vary depending on location and other factors.
It is important to stay informed about weather forecasts and have a plan in place for potential temperature drops. This can include having appropriate clothing and supplies on hand, as well as staying updated on any weather warnings or advisories in your area.