Heat Transfer into a heat reservoir

AI Thread Summary
The discussion revolves around estimating heat transfer from a small metal bar to its surroundings, focusing on calculating the power flowing out of the bar. The user has established the power input from electrical current using the formula P_in = I^2R and recognizes the need to account for power loss through blackbody radiation, air, and substrate conduction. While the blackbody radiation can be calculated, the user struggles with estimating heat conduction into the substrate and air, particularly due to the requirement of a temperature gradient for Fourier's law. They propose simplifying assumptions, such as treating the air and substrate as heat reservoirs and ignoring convection effects, to focus on short timescales. The main challenge lies in determining a characteristic length scale for the temperature gradient, which is essential for further calculations.
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I've got a problem with calculating (estimating) how much heat is flowing out of a metal bar in the following system; it seems like it should be simple but I can't see where to go with it.

System:
A small metal bar with length l=2.5mm, width w=0.2mm, thickness t=0.2μm with resistance R is on a substrate, with the rest of the material open to the air.
I want to work out what temperature the bar will be with a given current I flowing through it (and conversely what current is needed to maintain it at a temperature T).

My thoughts are to balance the power in and out of the bar.
I've got
$$P_{in}=I^2R$$
$$P_{out}=P_{blackbody} + P_{air} + P_{substrate}$$

I can calculate the blackbody radiation power fine (using an emissivity of 0.1), but I'm not sure how to calculate the conduction into the substrate and air.

I only need an estimate, so I was thinking of ignoring the effects of convection, and just treating the air and the substrate as heat reservoirs.
This is looking at short timescales (less than 1 second really), so I was thinking of ignoring heating of the air and substrate, assuming that they stay at room temperature.

My main problem comes from the fact that Fourier's law, q=-kdT/dx requires a temperature gradient, which I have no idea how to calculate. Approximating the gradient as ΔT/Δx requires some characteristic length scale, which I'm not sure how to approach.

Does anyone have any suggestions on how I can estimate this, or point out some flaw in my reasoning (bearing in mind that this is only a rough estimate)?
 
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Please note that temperature will change the resistance of the conductor.
 
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